GeoOptics… A Value Proposition For Weather Forecasting (Report)

[SatNews] Jon Kirchner, president and chief operating officer of GeoOptics, the satellite-based environmental data services company, has provided Congress with a path to change the way the U.S. Government acquires essential data for severe and day-to-day weather forecasting. In testimony delivered on May 23rd before the Subcommittee on Environment of the House Committee on Science, Space and Technology, Kirchner suggested ways of improving weather forecasting by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and other U.S. agencies, and commented on a draft bill entitled “The Weather Forecasting Improvement Act of 2013.” The proposed legislation would direct NOAA to prioritize and redirect its resources to a focused program of investing in near-term, affordable, and attainable advances in observational data, computing, and modeling capabilities. The program would deliver substantial improvement in the prediction of high-impact, severe weather events.

Kirchner highlighted the need to modernize the way NOAA and other federal agencies obtain satellite weather data, placing new emphasis on purchasing data from low-cost commercial suppliers. “The U.S. government should articulate and implement procurement reform by creating new performance-based, pay-on-delivery, data-purchase procurement approaches that enable federal agencies to immediately contract for services to help close the observational weather data gap looming in the next few years,” Kirchner told the committee in his testimony.

Given the tight constraints on the federal budget, the subcommittee wants NOAA to look for opportunities that reflect a “best bang for our buck” approach in buying weather data. Federal agencies such as NOAA own and operate expensive satellite constellations that take many years to build. An over-reliance on this practice has effectively blocked any new investments in more powerful and lower-cost satellite sensors that could be deployed far more quickly by private groups. GeoOptics advocates that the private sector assume some of the management and risk by maintaining and operating satellite data collection systems and providing services meeting standards set by federal agencies for weather forecasting and Earth science.

GeoOptics will launch an array of powerful GPS radio occultation (RO) sensors on its Phase 1 “CICERO” constellation of six low Earth orbiting satellites. CICERO will be expanded to 24 satellites carrying complementary sensors as demand grows. GPS-RO measures atmospheric temperature, moisture and pressure with a precision unrivalled by other space-based techniques. The RO sensor recovers this information by precisely observing perturbations imposed on ubiquitous GPS radio signals as they pass through the atmosphere. Today more than 2,500 orgnizations in 75 countries use RO data in Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) and research. NOAA’s own studies show that more accurate mid-to-long term forecasts can be made up to 15 hours sooner using the data collected from the current limited set of experimental GPS-RO sensors. CICERO Phase 1 will increase the available RO data supply at least three-fold.

“GeoOptics will advance a small satellite observing model that starts with GPS radio occultation,” Kirchner testified. “We believe an integrated private company like ours can deploy such systems for a fraction of current costs to the government.”

Kirchner went on to characterize the value proposition that commercial companies, such as GeoOptics, will represent to the U.S. weather enterprise community. He said GeoOptics believes that by adopting procurement options for purchasing earth observational data, the government could foster a vibrant global market in innovative satellite weather data. This will dramatically advance forecasting, particularly for severe storms, and will save lives, protect property and promote a robust U.S. economy.