Demand for high-speed Internet access and broadband services is escalating quickly due to services such as video on demand (VOD), Internet protocol television (IPTV), voice over Internet protocol (VoIP), and the integration of mobile and wireline voice services with traditional residential communications services. According to a recent report from ABI Research, this growth in demand is pushing subscriber levels higher for all categories of broadband access networks, particularly FTTH (Fiber to the Home). The ABI Research study, PON and Active Ethernet FTTH Deployments, presents an overview of annual subscriber additions involving four categories of FTTH: BPON (Broadband Passive Optical Networks), EPON (Ethernet Passive Optical Networks), GPON (Gigabit Passive Optical Networks), and AE (Active Ethernet).
“EPON has the lead within the initial part of the forecast period, but GPON will have a decisive lead in the second half of the forecast period,” says Stan Schatt, vice president and research director. “AE will gain ground against BPON and EPON as the forecast period progresses, although it will not overtake GPON. Regional Bell operating companies and other Tier One telecom operators will deploy GPON in force, while AE may be deployed by smaller operators with far lower subscriber volumes.” Schatt continues, “As a result of the general shift to higher-bandwidth capabilities for access networks, and the evolution of existing BPON and EPON networks as compared with the evolution of GPON networks, GPON subscribers will account for almost double the number of subscribers to EPON and BRON combined.”
With respect to FTTH homes passed versus FTTH subscribers — overall — take rates for FTTH homes passed will increase during the forecast period; and by 2011, the take rate will be more than 56%. ABI Research suggests that annual shipments of BPON will decline, but it will have longer traction in emerging markets such as Latin America due to lower bandwidth demands. For information visit www.abiresearch.com, or call +1.516.624.2500—New York, New York
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