There will be a huge increase in in commercial airlines' in-flight solutions from the total tallied in 2017 to the total forecast in 2027, according to Euroconsult's newly released report, Prospects for In-Flight Entertainment & Connectivity. More than 23,000 commercial aircraft will offer connectivity to their passengers by 2027, up from 7,400 aircraft in 2017.
Pacôme Revillon, CEO of Euroconsult said that in January 2018, around 90 airlines had either installed or committed to install in-flight connectivity (IFC) solutions. Offering connectivity was first seen as a differentiating factor, however as more and more airlines provide connectivity, offering in-flight wifi starts to become a must-have in order to keep a competitive positioning in the extremely challenging airline market.
The company's research confirms that installations will accelerate and that innovation will largely improve the in-flight experience. New generation satellite systems and air-to-ground networks will dramatically increase available bandwidth for aero customers. The IFEC industry is highly competitive and this competition brings positive fallout from a passenger's standpoint: The cost of MB is continuously decreasing and customized value-added services allow an ever better customer experience.
Mr. Revillon added that in the current take-up phase, they have witnessed an evolution of the pricing models applied by airlines to their passengers, from free access to a premium applied by the hour, by flight or on a monthly basis, as airlines try to find the ideal business model to lighten the burden of connectivity solution provision. For airline connectivity suppliers, we estimate that revenues from IFC topped $1.2 billion in 2017 and should reach $8.7 billion by 2027 for commercial aviation alone.
The increase in connected aircraft and in bandwidth consumption per passenger will support growth. To that respect, the ability to support video streaming on a large scale shall be a game changer. The revenue per aircraft per year shall constantly rise in the coming years to match the ever-increasing need for bandwidth. Still, the need to improve profit margins, and to benefit from economies of scale, shall favor vertical integration and consolidation in the IFC value chain. Competition will be strong between leading suppliers and new entrants, with our research benchmarking the positioning of main market players including Panasonic Avionics, Gogo, Thales InFlyt, Global Eagle, Inmarsat and ViaSat.
Beyond cabin connectivity, the next 10 years will see the full emergence of the SmartPlane concept. Aircraft being more and more connected will start to support all the latest IT trends such as IoT, Big Data, analytics, cyber-security and so forth. Intensifying competition among the different stakeholders of the IFC value chain, in order to offer more bandwidth to the aircraft, will allow aviation to enter a new era with connectivity at its heart. Euroconsult's research assesses the first signs and initiatives preparing for this major transformation in the aero sector.
In conjunction with the research report, Euroconsult is also publishing for the first time a Database of Connected Aircraft which will include a quarterly database update over a year-long subscription period. The Database of Connected Aircraft provides a list of more than 20,000 commercial aircraft, including information for every commercial aircraft currently flying, enabling users to determine whether specific aircraft provide in-flight connectivity and the corresponding connectivity solution. The database allows users to see the evolution of connected aircraft on a monthly basis based upon the terms of contracts when the information is made available. The database may be procured in conjunction with the IFEC report or as a standalone item.
Prospects for In-Flight Entertainment & Connectivity includes sector dynamics, analysis and forecasts addressing the IFEC market for commercial airlines and business aviation. An analysis of the various stakeholders of the ecosystem is presented as well as Euroconsult's 10-year forecast for cabin connectivity. The report assesses trends for both content and equipment provision; market forecasts for revenue, installation, and bandwidth by region, by segment and by network technology are provided.
